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Red120
271042.7
351234.2
450123.2
Blue67
151536.1
555336.0
690418.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11010505015020012067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.6
41.942.5
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End16.1
red by 6.6
1515
#27
36.10.7
37.536.8
Auto10.6
Teleop14.0
End11.5
Second
34.20.6
33.434.0
Auto7.6
Teleop6.3
End20.3
blue by 1.8
36.00.7
37.536.7
Auto11.6
Teleop9.8
End14.6
Third
4501
#20
23.20.6
22.623.2
Auto9.6
Teleop8.6
End4.9
red by 5.0
6904
#39
18.20.7
19.718.9
Auto7.2
Teleop0.0
End11.0