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Red147
580254.1
340836.2
401917.0
Blue136
183633.7
508925.9
145220.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11875050100150200147136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#13
54.10.9
51.852.8
Auto18.5
Teleop15.7
End20.0
red by 20.4
1836
#11
33.70.5
30.931.4
Auto12.5
Teleop8.6
End12.6
Second
36.20.9
34.034.9
Auto10.3
Teleop0.8
End25.1
red by 10.3
25.90.4
23.624.0
Auto12.1
Teleop6.7
End7.1
Third
4019
#25
17.00.9
14.815.7
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End5.0
blue by 3.8
1452
#38
20.90.5
18.118.6
Auto10.1
Teleop6.2
End4.6