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Red106
656066.8
71378.4
693425.8
Blue199
265954.3
86741.4
441467.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94158050200250300350106199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.81.5
51.553.0
Auto29.5
Teleop19.2
End18.0
blue by 0.5
67.25.5
59.064.5
Auto23.0
Teleop26.6
End17.7
Second
6934
#25
25.81.5
22.624.1
Auto7.4
Teleop4.6
End13.8
blue by 28.5
2659
#15
54.35.5
45.951.4
Auto19.1
Teleop17.4
End17.8
Third
7137
#40
8.41.5
18.119.6
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End2.1
blue by 33.0
867
#5
41.45.5
29.334.8
Auto8.4
Teleop10.1
End22.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
17%Shield Operational oddsMissed34%Shield Operational oddsMissed