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Red142
656066.8
11566.0
11422.6
Blue111
258452.7
242938.8
581829.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18313050100150200250300142111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.80.8
67.466.6
Auto29.5
Teleop19.2
End18.0
red by 14.0
2584
#12
52.70.7
53.552.7
Auto14.5
Teleop23.7
End14.6
Second
115
#2
66.00.8
66.765.9
Auto22.8
Teleop22.6
End20.7
red by 27.2
2429
#10
38.80.7
39.538.8
Auto6.8
Teleop4.2
End27.8
Third
114
#27
22.60.8
23.222.4
Auto7.8
Teleop6.9
End7.8
blue by 6.8
5818
#24
29.40.7
30.129.4
Auto13.9
Teleop10.1
End5.4