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Red133
174045.2
16643.3
226228.7
Blue101
115349.9
632853.8
355520.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12514450100200250133101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1740
#10
45.20.4
44.344.7
Auto13.9
Teleop9.5
End21.9
blue by 8.5
53.80.6
54.553.9
Auto18.7
Teleop19.1
End16.0
Second
166
#6
43.30.4
42.442.8
Auto16.7
Teleop5.0
End21.6
blue by 6.6
1153
#14
49.90.6
50.650.0
Auto16.2
Teleop11.3
End22.4
Third
2262
#13
28.70.4
27.828.2
Auto9.3
Teleop2.6
End16.8
red by 8.0
3555
#30
20.70.6
21.420.9
Auto11.2
Teleop3.0
End6.5