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Red71
135015.3
355520.7
16643.3
Blue120
31640.7
549123.3
19031.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8810505015071120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#6
43.31.8
40.238.4
Auto16.7
Teleop5.0
End21.6
red by 2.6
316
#4
40.71.0
39.940.9
Auto13.8
Teleop9.6
End17.3
Second
3555
#30
20.71.8
23.421.5
Auto11.2
Teleop3.0
End6.5
blue by 10.6
190
#25
31.31.0
29.730.7
Auto14.9
Teleop2.6
End13.8
Third
1350
#31
15.31.8
17.115.3
Auto7.2
Teleop2.9
End5.1
blue by 8.0
5491
#29
23.31.0
22.323.3
Auto6.0
Teleop5.6
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
20%Shield Operational oddsMissed18%Shield Operational oddsMissed