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Red70
534717.5
15726.4
287731.8
Blue144
115349.9
632853.8
355520.7
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7415105010020025070144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#17
31.80.1
31.931.7
Auto6.9
Teleop13.0
End11.9
blue by 22.0
53.80.3
54.354.7
Auto18.7
Teleop19.1
End16.0
Second
157
#11
26.40.1
26.526.4
Auto11.5
Teleop9.0
End5.9
blue by 23.5
1153
#14
49.90.3
50.450.8
Auto16.2
Teleop11.3
End22.4
Third
5347
#26
17.50.1
17.617.4
Auto9.9
Teleop4.1
End3.5
blue by 3.2
3555
#30
20.70.3
21.321.6
Auto11.2
Teleop3.0
End6.5