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Semifinal 1-12020 NE District Waterbury Event
Red159
17755.8
17669.5
99916.5
Blue128
740751.7
22845.6
23732.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16313950100200250300159128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#1
69.50.4
70.0→69.6
Auto21.9
Teleop28.8
End18.8
red by 17.8
7407
#8
51.70.1
51.0→50.9
Auto17.5
Teleop28.7
End5.5
Second
177
#2
55.80.4
56.2→55.8
Auto16.1
Teleop19.0
End20.7
red by 10.2
228
#5
45.60.1
44.9→44.8
Auto14.3
Teleop11.5
End19.8
Third
999
#28
16.50.4
16.9→16.5
Auto6.1
Teleop3.3
End7.1
blue by 16.1
237
#20
32.60.1
31.9→31.8
Auto12.4
Teleop13.1
End7.1