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Semifinal 1-22020 NE District Waterbury Event
Red204
17755.8
17669.5
457225.8
Blue168
740751.7
22845.6
23732.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17413750100150200250300204168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#1
69.50.2
69.6→69.8
Auto21.9
Teleop28.8
End18.8
red by 17.8
7407
#8
51.70.8
50.9→51.7
Auto17.5
Teleop28.7
End5.5
Second
177
#2
55.80.2
55.8→56.0
Auto16.1
Teleop19.0
End20.7
red by 10.2
228
#5
45.60.8
44.8→45.6
Auto14.3
Teleop11.5
End19.8
Third
4572
#17
25.80.2
25.8→26.0
Auto10.7
Teleop6.0
End9.0
blue by 6.8
237
#20
32.60.8
31.8→32.6
Auto12.4
Teleop13.1
End7.1