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Red113
691943.6
349434.8
56085.4
Blue139
572729.6
334431.5
126145.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68110050150200113139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.63.5
34.738.2
Auto12.4
Teleop7.9
End23.3
blue by 1.8
45.43.4
40.343.7
Auto9.3
Teleop11.5
End24.6
Second
3494
#21
34.83.5
29.633.1
Auto9.0
Teleop6.9
End18.9
red by 3.3
3344
#10
31.53.4
25.929.2
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End20.8
Third
5608
#27
5.43.5
2.05.4
Auto1.0
Teleop2.9
End1.5
blue by 24.2
5727
#11
29.63.4
27.130.5
Auto11.0
Teleop5.9
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
12%Shield Operational oddsMissed16%Shield Operational oddsEarned