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Red154
418852.0
691943.6
682914.9
Blue125
510922.1
126145.4
349434.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11511250100150200154125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.01.1
49.450.5
Auto18.9
Teleop10.0
End23.1
red by 6.6
45.40.5
44.845.4
Auto9.3
Teleop11.5
End24.6
Second
43.61.1
41.042.1
Auto12.4
Teleop7.9
End23.3
red by 8.8
3494
#21
34.80.5
34.234.8
Auto9.0
Teleop6.9
End18.9
Third
6829
#34
14.91.1
12.313.4
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End6.6
blue by 7.3
5109
#24
22.10.5
21.622.1
Auto13.9
Teleop7.7
End0.5