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Red154
752228.1
801118.2
759121.1
Blue115
694127.2
821418.2
516518.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7670050100150200250154115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7522
Unranked
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto9.5
Teleop6.9
End11.7
red by 0.9
6941
Unranked
27.20.0
27.227.2
Auto9.2
Teleop6.7
End11.3
Second
7591
Unranked
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto7.1
Teleop5.2
End8.8
red by 2.9
5165
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6
Third
8011
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6
Level
8214
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6