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Red32
573721.4
495318.2
817218.2
Blue81
801118.2
694127.2
551622.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627801001502002503003281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5737
Unranked
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto7.2
Teleop5.3
End8.9
blue by 5.9
6941
Unranked
27.20.0
27.227.2
Auto9.2
Teleop6.7
End11.3
Second
4953
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6
blue by 4.2
5516
Unranked
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto7.6
Teleop5.6
End9.3
Third
8172
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6
Level
8011
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.5
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized odds0%Shield Energized odds
Shield Operational
13%Shield Operational odds14%Shield Operational odds