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Red138
162548.9
173254.1
348838.5
Blue193
741156.5
233875.4
202231.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155183100200250300138193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.10.2
54.354.1
Auto17.5
Teleop13.6
End23.0
blue by 21.3
75.40.8
74.675.4
Auto16.6
Teleop29.3
End29.6
Second
48.90.2
49.148.9
Auto16.6
Teleop11.6
End20.7
blue by 7.6
7411
#11
56.50.8
55.756.5
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End28.4
Third
3488
#24
38.50.2
38.738.5
Auto13.1
Teleop11.1
End14.3
red by 7.6
2022
#22
31.00.8
30.131.0
Auto9.1
Teleop5.5
End16.3