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Red195
741156.5
233875.4
202231.0
Blue175
235845.2
11164.3
306724.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18113950100200250300195175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.40.6
73.474.1
Auto16.6
Teleop29.3
End29.6
red by 11.1
111
#7
64.30.9
63.063.9
Auto16.0
Teleop26.0
End22.3
Second
7411
#11
56.50.6
54.555.1
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End28.4
red by 11.3
2358
#16
45.20.9
43.944.8
Auto14.0
Teleop12.5
End18.8
Third
2022
#22
31.00.6
28.929.6
Auto9.1
Teleop5.5
End16.3
red by 6.9
3067
#37
24.00.9
22.723.6
Auto6.7
Teleop5.3
End12.0