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Semifinal 2-22020 Midwest Regional
Red203
741156.5
233875.4
202231.0
Blue148
235845.2
11164.3
306724.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18314250100200250300203148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#2
75.41.2
74.1→75.3
Auto16.6
Teleop29.3
End29.6
red by 11.1
111
#7
64.30.4
63.9→64.3
Auto16.0
Teleop26.0
End22.3
Second
7411
#11
56.51.2
55.1→56.3
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End28.4
red by 11.3
2358
#16
45.20.4
44.8→45.2
Auto14.0
Teleop12.5
End18.8
Third
2022
#22
31.01.2
29.6→30.8
Auto9.1
Teleop5.5
End16.3
red by 6.9
3067
#37
24.00.4
23.6→24.0
Auto6.7
Teleop5.3
End12.0