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Red197
172072.0
23448.3
765731.5
Blue133
150140.2
745764.1
355927.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17014350100200250300197133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.01.0
71.072.0
Auto20.4
Teleop25.0
End26.6
red by 8.0
64.10.0
64.064.1
Auto14.3
Teleop24.7
End25.0
Second
234
#1
48.31.0
47.348.3
Auto15.0
Teleop14.4
End18.9
red by 8.1
40.20.0
40.240.2
Auto17.4
Teleop12.1
End10.7
Third
7657
#29
31.51.0
30.531.5
Auto14.1
Teleop3.1
End14.3
red by 4.3
3559
#22
27.20.0
27.227.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End13.3