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Red154
150140.2
745764.1
355927.2
Blue69
317629.9
174130.4
761721.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1508105010020025015469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.10.3
62.262.5
Auto14.3
Teleop24.7
End25.0
red by 33.7
1741
#10
30.40.3
30.430.1
Auto11.7
Teleop6.1
End12.5
Second
40.20.3
38.438.7
Auto17.4
Teleop12.1
End10.7
red by 10.3
3176
#31
29.90.3
29.929.6
Auto8.9
Teleop11.4
End9.6
Third
3559
#22
27.20.3
25.425.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End13.3
red by 6.2
7617
#14
21.00.3
21.020.7
Auto6.0
Teleop6.2
End8.8