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Red104
321128.7
555435.2
784521.4
Blue83
459022.2
308330.1
194326.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988505015020025030035040010483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.3
35.535.8
Auto15.1
Teleop8.1
End12.0
red by 5.0
30.10.1
30.030.1
Auto6.3
Teleop5.4
End18.4
Second
3211
#13
28.70.2
29.029.3
Auto14.8
Teleop8.2
End5.7
red by 2.7
1943
#18
26.00.1
25.926.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End17.2
Third
7845
#19
21.40.2
21.822.0
Auto10.7
Teleop6.2
End4.6
blue by 0.7
4590
#20
22.20.2
22.022.2
Auto6.5
Teleop7.7
End8.0