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Red44
43199.6
67408.3
458636.1
Blue136
209648.9
466116.7
157744.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728205010015020025030035040044136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4586
#12
36.15.8
27.521.7
Auto12.1
Teleop5.9
End18.0
blue by 12.9
48.96.4
26.232.7
Auto17.0
Teleop12.3
End19.6
Second
4319
#26
9.65.8
16.210.4
Auto2.7
Teleop0.3
End6.7
blue by 34.9
44.56.4
29.035.5
Auto16.3
Teleop5.9
End22.3
Third
6740
#29
8.35.8
22.216.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End0.9
blue by 8.4
4661
#24
16.76.4
16.923.3
Auto6.0
Teleop3.0
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
12%Shield Operational oddsMissed13%Shield Operational oddsEarned