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Red111
307537.3
706742.2
331618.8
Blue145
595127.1
717737.3
466130.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11395050150200250111145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.1
42.442.4
Auto13.3
Teleop8.1
End20.7
red by 4.9
37.31.2
34.836.0
Auto13.9
Teleop7.9
End15.6
Second
3075
#17
37.30.1
37.637.5
Auto19.0
Teleop8.6
End9.7
red by 6.8
4661
#20
30.51.2
28.029.2
Auto8.0
Teleop4.6
End17.9
Third
3316
#28
18.80.1
19.018.9
Auto8.7
Teleop-0.8
End10.9
blue by 8.4
5951
#24
27.11.4
24.325.7
Auto10.4
Teleop6.4
End10.3