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Red251
333955.9
433848.9
169085.6
Blue78
565420.7
563531.7
307537.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1459305020025030025178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.611.7
63.174.7
Auto23.0
Teleop34.4
End28.1
red by 48.3
3075
#17
37.31.2
33.131.9
Auto19.0
Teleop8.6
End9.7
Second
55.911.7
34.946.5
Auto20.3
Teleop14.6
End21.1
red by 24.2
31.71.2
32.531.3
Auto10.4
Teleop5.8
End15.5
Third
4338
#14
48.911.7
25.737.4
Auto16.9
Teleop9.0
End23.0
red by 28.2
5654
#23
20.71.2
24.022.8
Auto12.2
Teleop2.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
20%Shield Operational oddsEarned22%Shield Operational oddsMissed