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Red202
8855.9
216873.1
395823.2
Blue155
7854.1
632959.7
673123.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16914850100200250300202155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.10.9
71.872.7
Auto21.2
Teleop26.7
End25.2
red by 13.3
59.70.4
59.059.4
Auto15.2
Teleop15.5
End29.1
Second
88
#5
55.90.9
54.755.6
Auto22.0
Teleop13.2
End20.7
red by 1.8
78
#3
54.10.4
53.453.8
Auto17.2
Teleop10.7
End26.2
Third
3958
#18
23.20.9
22.022.9
Auto9.4
Teleop7.7
End6.2
blue by 0.1
6731
#29
23.40.4
22.723.0
Auto9.3
Teleop7.8
End6.3