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Red131
88836.7
242140.2
788620.6
Blue100
291235.2
61126.7
379332.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103106050150200250131100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.9
38.539.3
Auto15.0
Teleop8.6
End16.5
red by 5.0
2912
#16
35.20.1
35.135.2
Auto10.8
Teleop9.1
End15.3
Second
888
#7
36.70.9
35.035.8
Auto11.5
Teleop8.3
End16.9
red by 3.9
3793
#14
32.70.1
32.732.8
Auto12.0
Teleop4.4
End16.3
Third
7886
#18
20.60.9
18.919.8
Auto9.4
Teleop2.1
End9.1
blue by 6.1
611
#11
26.70.1
26.626.8
Auto6.6
Teleop0.2
End19.9