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Red123
533835.9
594520.0
291418.0
Blue101
253727.8
218023.7
511525.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7885050100150200123101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.91.2
34.836.0
Auto12.7
Teleop4.0
End19.3
red by 8.2
2537
#19
27.80.6
27.227.8
Auto11.9
Teleop6.2
End9.7
Second
20.01.2
18.920.1
Auto9.3
Teleop5.2
End5.5
blue by 5.3
5115
#13
25.30.6
24.725.3
Auto10.5
Teleop8.0
End6.8
Third
2914
#33
18.01.2
16.918.1
Auto11.5
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 5.7
23.70.6
23.123.7
Auto8.4
Teleop5.4
End9.9