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Red139
86257.0
102369.3
659121.9
Blue79
261136.5
567657.0
520535.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16715110020025013979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.30.3
69.168.8
Auto19.4
Teleop26.3
End23.6
red by 12.3
57.01.7
59.557.8
Auto15.3
Teleop12.9
End28.8
Second
862
#4
57.00.3
56.856.5
Auto17.1
Teleop15.5
End24.4
red by 20.5
36.51.7
39.037.4
Auto9.3
Teleop8.4
End18.8
Third
6591
#31
21.90.3
21.721.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End10.3
blue by 14.0
5205
#23
35.91.7
38.536.8
Auto15.9
Teleop13.0
End7.0