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Red125
567657.0
552315.7
520535.9
Blue156
365519.1
719735.4
102369.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111114050150200250125156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.01.6
53.454.9
Auto15.3
Teleop12.9
End28.8
blue by 12.3
69.34.4
59.563.9
Auto19.4
Teleop26.3
End23.6
Second
5205
#23
35.91.6
33.034.6
Auto15.9
Teleop13.0
End7.0
red by 0.5
35.43.6
29.833.4
Auto9.3
Teleop6.8
End19.2
Third
5523
#25
15.71.7
13.215.0
Auto6.2
Teleop3.4
End6.1
blue by 3.4
3655
#30
19.14.8
12.717.5
Auto4.3
Teleop1.7
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
20%Shield Operational oddsMissed24%Shield Operational oddsEarned