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Red115
86257.0
658040.9
150211.1
Blue159
102369.3
421634.3
609221.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11412750100150200250115159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#4
57.00.6
54.254.8
Auto17.1
Teleop15.5
End24.4
blue by 12.3
69.33.2
63.967.1
Auto19.4
Teleop26.3
End23.6
Second
6580
#21
40.90.6
39.339.9
Auto15.9
Teleop13.7
End11.3
red by 6.5
4216
#18
34.33.2
30.333.5
Auto8.7
Teleop11.7
End14.0
Third
1502
#38
11.10.6
10.511.1
Auto5.0
Teleop2.5
End3.7
blue by 10.6
6092
#33
21.83.5
18.221.8
Auto6.0
Teleop5.0
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
17%Shield Operational oddsEarned24%Shield Operational oddsEarned