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Red177
261136.5
567657.0
520535.9
Blue105
658040.9
553051.3
827520.7
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15212350100200250177105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.01.0
58.159.0
Auto15.3
Teleop12.9
End28.8
red by 5.7
5530
#10
51.30.3
51.651.3
Auto15.7
Teleop12.2
End23.4
Second
36.51.0
37.638.6
Auto9.3
Teleop8.4
End18.8
blue by 4.4
6580
#21
40.90.3
41.240.8
Auto15.9
Teleop13.7
End11.3
Third
5205
#23
35.91.0
37.038.0
Auto15.9
Teleop13.0
End7.0
red by 15.2
8275
#15
20.70.3
21.120.7
Auto6.3
Teleop4.3
End10.1