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Red175
168442.9
353447.7
840021.7
Blue103
7034.2
659518.5
31433.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9793050150200250175103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.71.6
39.240.8
Auto10.8
Teleop11.7
End25.2
red by 13.5
70
#15
34.20.4
33.433.8
Auto13.8
Teleop5.1
End15.2
Second
1684
#17
42.91.6
34.436.0
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End14.7
red by 9.7
314
#16
33.30.4
32.532.9
Auto10.3
Teleop8.8
End14.1
Third
8400
#23
21.71.6
13.214.8
Auto7.4
Teleop5.4
End9.0
red by 3.2
6595
#13
18.50.4
17.718.1
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End6.7