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Red164
168442.9
353447.7
840021.7
Blue100
7034.2
659518.5
31433.3
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10493050150200164100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.70.9
40.841.8
Auto10.8
Teleop11.7
End25.2
red by 13.5
70
#15
34.20.3
33.834.2
Auto13.8
Teleop5.1
End15.2
Second
1684
#17
42.90.9
36.037.0
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End14.7
red by 9.7
314
#16
33.30.3
32.933.3
Auto10.3
Teleop8.8
End14.1
Third
8400
#23
21.70.9
14.815.7
Auto7.4
Teleop5.4
End9.0
red by 3.2
6595
#13
18.50.3
18.118.5
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End6.7