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Red165
50357.9
553351.2
719225.1
Blue100
83039.5
566033.4
89429.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158106050200250300165100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#4
57.90.6
58.459.0
Auto16.3
Teleop18.3
End23.3
red by 18.4
830
#22
39.50.0
39.239.2
Auto10.7
Teleop13.6
End15.2
Second
51.20.6
51.652.2
Auto18.1
Teleop6.5
End26.6
red by 17.8
5660
#11
33.40.0
33.033.0
Auto8.7
Teleop8.5
End16.2
Third
7192
#14
25.10.6
25.526.1
Auto8.7
Teleop0.6
End15.8
blue by 4.5
894
#31
29.60.0
29.329.2
Auto10.6
Teleop3.8
End15.2