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Red125
819333.3
566229.2
659518.5
Blue105
83039.5
519325.2
523516.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56870100150200125105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.35.8
24.330.1
Auto13.0
Teleop0.2
End20.0
blue by 6.3
830
#22
39.50.6
38.639.2
Auto10.7
Teleop13.6
End15.2
Second
5662
#37
29.25.8
16.622.4
Auto12.3
Teleop1.6
End15.3
red by 4.0
5193
#32
25.20.6
23.123.7
Auto11.1
Teleop2.9
End11.2
Third
6595
#13
18.55.8
12.818.6
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End6.7
red by 2.0
5235
#35
16.50.6
12.613.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
6%Shield Operational oddsEarned5%Shield Operational oddsMissed