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Red191
168442.9
353447.7
840021.7
Blue95
504637.2
516652.2
566229.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10813805015020025019195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.71.7
43.845.5
Auto10.8
Teleop11.7
End25.2
blue by 4.5
52.20.6
52.852.2
Auto16.0
Teleop14.5
End21.7
Second
1684
#17
42.91.7
39.040.7
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End14.7
red by 5.7
5046
#10
37.20.6
37.837.2
Auto10.9
Teleop12.0
End14.4
Third
8400
#23
21.71.7
17.819.4
Auto7.4
Teleop5.4
End9.0
blue by 7.5
5662
#37
29.20.6
29.829.2
Auto12.3
Teleop1.6
End15.3