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Red142
150648.2
332258.4
553819.4
Blue186
569736.3
354240.4
49425.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13910550150200250142186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.4
56.556.9
Auto18.1
Teleop20.7
End19.6
red by 18.0
3542
#11
40.41.3
39.440.6
Auto13.4
Teleop13.7
End13.4
Second
1506
#14
48.20.4
46.346.7
Auto14.6
Teleop19.6
End14.0
red by 12.0
5697
#15
36.31.3
35.236.4
Auto13.8
Teleop4.7
End17.7
Third
5538
#29
19.40.4
17.517.9
Auto5.6
Teleop3.2
End10.6
blue by 5.7
494
#24
25.11.4
23.925.3
Auto12.5
Teleop5.7
End7.0