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Red150
439147.7
387564.7
776819.7
Blue152
778247.9
85749.2
656925.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14813450100200250300150152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.70.4
64.364.7
Auto16.3
Teleop16.7
End31.7
red by 15.5
857
#3
49.20.3
48.849.2
Auto15.9
Teleop8.6
End24.6
Second
4391
#10
47.70.4
47.347.7
Auto15.8
Teleop13.3
End18.6
blue by 0.2
47.90.3
47.647.9
Auto16.2
Teleop8.7
End23.0
Third
7768
#27
19.70.4
19.319.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End7.3
blue by 6.1
6569
#32
25.80.3
25.425.8
Auto10.3
Teleop4.0
End11.5