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Red64
471521.3
782317.5
608817.4
Blue84
778247.9
498830.5
437541.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5310001502006484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4715
#37
21.32.1
16.914.8
Auto5.7
Teleop4.1
End11.5
blue by 26.6
47.90.0
27.927.9
Auto16.2
Teleop8.7
End23.0
Second
7823
#22
17.52.1
18.916.8
Auto4.8
Teleop-0.3
End12.9
blue by 24.3
41.70.0
32.332.3
Auto16.3
Teleop8.3
End17.1
Third
6088
#38
17.42.1
17.415.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.4
End8.7
blue by 13.1
4988
#12
30.50.0
23.723.7
Auto10.9
Teleop7.5
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
10%Shield Operational oddsMissed16%Shield Operational oddsMissed