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Red110
725020.2
498830.5
655717.1
Blue121
587830.5
776819.7
258647.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions541190100150200250110121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4988
#12
30.54.0
26.630.6
Auto10.9
Teleop7.5
End12.1
blue by 17.4
47.90.5
47.748.2
Auto15.9
Teleop17.0
End15.1
Second
7250
#34
20.24.0
16.520.5
Auto10.7
Teleop1.7
End7.8
blue by 10.3
30.50.5
31.331.8
Auto9.5
Teleop6.2
End14.9
Third
6557
#29
17.14.0
13.117.1
Auto5.9
Teleop0.7
End10.4
blue by 2.6
7768
#27
19.70.6
19.920.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Shield Energized
0%Shield Energized oddsMissed0%Shield Energized oddsMissed
Shield Operational
7%Shield Operational oddsEarned11%Shield Operational oddsMissed