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Red114
439147.7
387564.7
776819.7
Blue112
437541.7
611335.0
781623.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155105050200250114112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.70.8
64.964.2
Auto16.3
Teleop16.7
End31.7
red by 22.9
41.70.3
41.541.7
Auto16.3
Teleop8.3
End17.1
Second
4391
#10
47.70.8
47.947.2
Auto15.8
Teleop13.3
End18.6
red by 12.7
35.00.3
34.735.0
Auto16.0
Teleop9.3
End9.7
Third
7768
#27
19.70.8
19.919.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End7.3
blue by 4.2
7816
#19
23.90.3
23.723.9
Auto6.0
Teleop4.2
End13.7