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Red154
364156.8
506627.1
776228.6
Blue147
171852.8
543657.5
838021.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12015050100200250154147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.8
56.357.1
Auto18.8
Teleop13.9
End24.1
blue by 0.7
57.50.4
57.157.4
Auto12.6
Teleop8.0
End36.9
Second
7762
#20
28.60.8
28.128.9
Auto8.7
Teleop5.7
End14.2
blue by 24.2
52.80.4
52.452.7
Auto13.6
Teleop18.3
End20.9
Third
5066
#16
27.10.9
26.627.5
Auto9.7
Teleop5.2
End12.2
red by 5.6
8380
#37
21.50.4
21.021.4
Auto8.2
Teleop1.3
End12.1