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Red180
171852.8
543657.5
838021.5
Blue135
77238.5
283434.8
13531.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14311150100200180135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.50.2
55.154.9
Auto12.6
Teleop8.0
End36.9
red by 19.0
772
#29
38.50.4
38.138.5
Auto15.1
Teleop8.7
End14.6
Second
52.80.2
50.450.2
Auto13.6
Teleop18.3
End20.9
red by 18.0
34.80.4
34.434.8
Auto6.7
Teleop3.5
End24.6
Third
8380
#37
21.50.3
18.918.6
Auto8.2
Teleop1.3
End12.1
blue by 9.7
135
#25
31.20.4
30.831.2
Auto9.4
Teleop3.9
End17.9