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Red104
766052.9
634444.7
7430.0
Blue177
505343.4
776937.8
755338.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14912350100200250104177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.9
53.852.9
Auto19.7
Teleop11.6
End21.6
red by 9.5
5053
#16
43.40.4
41.141.5
Auto17.6
Teleop8.9
End16.9
Second
44.70.9
45.644.7
Auto15.4
Teleop10.5
End18.7
red by 5.7
7553
#29
38.90.4
36.637.0
Auto16.4
Teleop7.1
End15.4
Third
74
#28
30.00.9
30.930.0
Auto7.4
Teleop4.1
End18.5
blue by 7.7
7769
#13
37.80.4
35.435.9
Auto12.9
Teleop5.5
End19.3