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Red192
362045.2
205439.7
423739.9
Blue111
432539.3
511034.4
261933.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12211750100150200250192111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.21.5
40.341.8
Auto11.7
Teleop11.7
End21.9
red by 5.9
39.30.2
38.838.6
Auto11.7
Teleop5.8
End21.8
Second
4237
#21
39.91.7
34.436.1
Auto17.1
Teleop7.4
End15.4
red by 5.4
34.40.2
33.933.7
Auto9.3
Teleop6.2
End19.0
Third
39.71.7
34.235.9
Auto13.5
Teleop11.0
End15.2
red by 6.1
2619
#28
33.60.2
33.132.9
Auto14.7
Teleop4.2
End14.7