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Red124
592751.4
22661.4
658817.8
Blue111
8527.9
561033.1
485525.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14983050100200250124111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#2
61.40.4
59.859.4
Auto12.7
Teleop17.8
End30.9
red by 28.4
5610
#11
33.10.6
31.832.4
Auto12.0
Teleop6.8
End14.3
Second
5927
#12
51.40.4
49.949.5
Auto11.1
Teleop19.8
End20.5
red by 23.4
85
#15
27.90.7
26.527.2
Auto9.7
Teleop9.2
End9.1
Third
6588
#20
17.80.4
16.215.8
Auto3.9
Teleop0.7
End13.3
blue by 7.8
4855
#22
25.70.6
24.425.0
Auto13.1
Teleop9.0
End3.6