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Red124
505644.2
438449.3
554724.0
Blue142
400337.5
295936.9
515227.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410750150200250124142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.30.2
49.249.0
Auto16.5
Teleop10.6
End22.2
red by 11.8
4003
#26
37.50.9
36.837.8
Auto13.7
Teleop14.8
End9.0
Second
44.20.2
44.143.9
Auto14.3
Teleop11.6
End18.2
red by 7.3
2959
#10
36.91.1
36.137.2
Auto13.2
Teleop15.0
End8.7
Third
5547
#16
24.00.2
23.923.7
Auto7.1
Teleop6.2
End10.7
blue by 3.2
5152
#24
27.10.9
26.427.4
Auto6.9
Teleop3.6
End16.6