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Red195
353867.4
413061.4
719117.9
Blue138
54851.1
148138.5
259118.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16911050150200250195138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.40.8
66.667.4
Auto20.6
Teleop24.3
End22.5
red by 16.3
548
#7
51.10.7
50.551.2
Auto9.9
Teleop17.9
End23.3
Second
61.40.8
60.661.4
Auto19.3
Teleop17.7
End24.4
red by 22.9
38.50.7
37.938.6
Auto11.2
Teleop12.3
End15.0
Third
7191
#27
17.90.8
17.117.9
Auto5.4
Teleop3.0
End9.5
blue by 0.3
2591
#31
18.20.7
17.618.3
Auto6.1
Teleop4.3
End7.9