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Red130
54851.1
148138.5
259118.2
Blue64
509016.1
557716.9
817917.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12345010015020013064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#7
51.10.7
48.749.4
Auto9.9
Teleop17.9
End23.3
red by 34.0
8179
#24
17.10.0
17.117.1
Auto5.9
Teleop-1.6
End12.7
Second
38.50.7
36.136.8
Auto11.2
Teleop12.3
End15.0
red by 21.6
5577
#10
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto7.2
Teleop2.4
End7.4
Third
2591
#31
18.20.7
15.816.5
Auto6.1
Teleop4.3
End7.9
red by 2.2
5090
#28
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.1
End5.2