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Red191
357251.9
191868.1
524727.1
Blue113
376735.3
498325.9
159635.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1869850150200250300191113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.10.8
71.271.9
Auto16.5
Teleop27.8
End23.8
red by 32.4
1596
#17
35.80.3
36.436.7
Auto6.4
Teleop5.3
End24.1
Second
51.90.8
54.955.7
Auto18.5
Teleop14.9
End18.4
red by 16.5
3767
#13
35.30.3
36.036.3
Auto8.6
Teleop9.0
End17.7
Third
5247
#21
27.10.8
30.231.0
Auto6.3
Teleop6.4
End14.5
red by 1.3
4983
#12
25.90.3
26.526.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End15.7