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Red183
205268.5
249158.6
418243.1
Blue171
298758.5
702155.6
284645.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191174100150250300183171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.50.4
68.068.5
Auto19.3
Teleop20.9
End28.2
red by 10.0
58.50.4
58.158.5
Auto19.1
Teleop12.6
End26.8
Second
58.60.4
58.258.6
Auto17.5
Teleop16.2
End24.8
red by 3.0
55.60.4
55.255.6
Auto19.0
Teleop8.7
End27.9
Third
4182
#16
43.10.4
42.743.1
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End24.1
blue by 1.8
2846
#18
45.00.4
44.645.0
Auto15.4
Teleop4.9
End24.7