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Red202
125946.3
250254.1
753040.2
Blue137
710329.9
422641.0
462337.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15511450100200250202137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.12.0
52.054.0
Auto14.7
Teleop17.7
End21.7
red by 13.1
41.00.4
40.641.0
Auto12.6
Teleop4.7
End23.7
Second
1259
#36
46.32.0
44.246.2
Auto20.7
Teleop16.0
End9.6
red by 8.5
4623
#23
37.80.4
37.437.8
Auto16.0
Teleop9.6
End12.3
Third
7530
#35
40.22.0
38.140.1
Auto9.3
Teleop11.7
End19.2
red by 10.4
7103
#40
29.90.4
29.429.9
Auto12.2
Teleop10.2
End7.4